Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup variatif di mana indeks Dow Jones ditutup menguat sedangkan indeks S&P500 dan Nasdaq Composite ditutup melemah. Pergerakan indeks antara lain dipengaruhi oleh beberapa laporan keuangan emiten yang beragam. Namun hingga saat ini sudah lebih dari 50% saham dalam indeks S&P500 telah merilis laporan keuangan triwulan II 2023, di mana sebesar 80% membukukan laba yang melebihi estimasi. Hal ini memicu meredanya kekhawatiran pasar akan potensi resesi ekonomi AS di tengah laju inflasi yang menurun. Meskipun demikian rata-rata laba emiten dalam indeks S&P500 pada triwulan II diperkirakan turun 7,1% yoy, yang merupakan penurunan selama tiga kuartal berturut-turut. Pada pekan ini sebanyak lebih dari 160 emiten dalam indeks S&P500 dijadwalkan akan merilis kinerja keuangan. Sementara itu data indeks ISM manufaktur bulan Juli masih di area kontraksi, yaitu di level 46. Sedangkan data pembukaan kerja bulan Juni di bawah perkiraan.

IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 1 Agustus 2023 ditutup melemah 0,65% pada level 6886. Semua sektor melemah dengan kontributor pelemahan terbesar pada saham sektor kesehatan. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp386,94 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6880/6860 dan resistance 6930/6950. Stock pick: BBRI, ASII, TLKM, JSMR, INCO, ANTM, HRUM, BSDE

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