Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada perdagangan akhir pekan lalu ditutup menguat dipicu oleh reli pada saham sektor teknologi. Selama bulan Juni, indeks Dow Jones +4,56%, indeks S&P500 +6,47% dan Nasdaq Composite +6,59% mom. Sehingga selama semester I/2023, indeks Dow Jones +3,8%, indeks S&P500 +15,91% dan Nasdaq Composite +31,73% ytd. Sementara itu faktor positif juga berasal dari data inflasi yang lebih rendah dari perkiraan. Indeks PCE prices bulan Mei tercatat sebesar 0,1% mom dari bulan sebelumnya 0,4% mom. Indeks PCE inti sebesar 0,3% mom dari bulan sebelumnya 0,4% mom. Sehingga untuk indeks PCE prices tahunan menjadi 3,8% yoy dari 4,3% yoy. Dan indeks PCE inti tahunan menjadi 4,6% yoy dari 4,7% yoy.

Data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya indeks ISM manufacturing, ADP Employement, ISM non manufacturing index, nonfarm payrolls dan unemployment rate. Dari domestik, data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini adalah indeks manufaktur PMI, inflasi Juni dan cadangan devisa.

IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 27 Juni 2023 ditutup melemah 0,04% pada level 6661. Saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor keuangan membukukan kenaikan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp77,79 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Selama bulan Juni lalu, IHSG +0,43%, namun selama semester I/2023 IHSG masih melemah 2,76% ytd. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6635/6620 dan resistance 6690/6720. Stock pick: BMRI, BBNI, BBCA, TLKM, EXCL, ICBP

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