Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street kembali ditutup melemah akibat kenaikan yield obligasi pemerintah AS, di mana yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun mencapai level 4,18% yang merupakan level tertinggi sejak November 2022. Kenaikan yield ini menjadi sentimen negatif bagi saham sektor real estate serta mendorong penguatan indeks volatilitas pada level tertinggi sejak Juni. Laporan kinerja keuangan beberapa saham yang di bawah estimasi juga menjadi faktor negatif bagi pergerakan indeks. Sementara itu Bank of England menaikkan suku bunga sebesar 0,25% menjadi 5,25% dalam rangka untuk menurunkan laju inflasi. Harga minyak mentah menguat setelah Arab Saudi menyatakan akan memperpanjang pemangkasan produksi secara suka rela sebanyak 1 juta bpd memasuki bulan ketiga termasuk September dan ada potensi masih akan berlanjut setelahnya. Rusia juga menyatakan akan menurunkan ekspor minyak sebanyak 300 ribu bpd pada bulan September. Para menteri negara-negara OPEC+ akan melakukan pertemuan pada hari Jumat untuk membahas pasar minyak mentah. Harga emas melemah akibat kenaikan yield obligasi dan dollar AS.

IHSG pada perdagangan Kamis 3 Agustus 2023 ditutup menguat 0,64% pada level 6898. Sektor basic materials membukukan penguatan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor infrastruktur mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp433,01 miliar termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6860/6830 dan resistance 6925/6945. Stock pick: BBCA, BBNI, BMRI, PGAS, INDY, ACES, BSDE, AALI, LSIP, ICBP

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