Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup mix, di mana indeks Dow Jones ditutup menguat sedangkan indeks S&P500 dan Nasdaq Composite ditutup melemah. Namun dibandingkan dengan pekan sebelumnya, ketiga indeks utama tersebut ditutup melemah selama pekan lalu. Faktor negatif masih berasal dari kekhawatiran potensi akan perlambatan ekonomi setelah The Fed mengindikasikan akan melakukan langkah yang lebih agresif sebagai upaya menurunkan laju inflasi. Saham sektor teknologi memimpin pelemahan indeks karena investor menjual saham yang lebih berisiko akan terkena dampak buruk kenaikan suku bunga. Sebaliknya saham sektor defensif seperti sektor kesehatan dan konsumen mengalami reli pada pekan lalu. Yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun berlanjut menguat pada level 2,7%, yang merupakan level tertinggi baru dalam tiga tahun terakhir. Data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya CPI, PPI dan retail sales. Pasar juga menantikan dimulainya earning season triwulan I/2022 di Wal Street, di mana JP Morgan, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley dan Wells Fargo dijadwalkan merilis laporan keuangan pada pekan ini.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 8 April 2022 ditutup menguat 1,17% pada level tertinggi baru di 7210, setelah sempat mencapai level 7216. Saham sektor energi mengalami kenaikan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor consumer cyclicals mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp1,290 triliun, termasuk net buy investor asing atas saham BBRI senilai Rp138,81 miliar di pasar negosiasi. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7180/7150 dan resistance 7250/7270. Stock pick: TLKM, BBNI, BBRI, BBCA, INDY, ANTM, INCO, TINS, ADRO, PTBA

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