Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup menguat terbatas, namun selama sepekan lalu melemah akibat munculnya kembali kekhawatiran bahwa The Fed akan menaikkan suku bunga lebih banyak dari perkiraan sebelumnya. Saham sektor energi mengalami kenaikan seiring dengan berlanjutnya penguatan harga minyak mentah akibat kecemasan akan ketatnya suplay. Beberapa data ekonomi AS yang lebih baik dari estimasi serta kenaikan harga minyak mentah yang menimbulkan potensi naiknya kembali inflasi, telah menjadi pemicu kekhawatiran pasar bahwa The Fed masih akan melanjutkan tren kenaikan suku bunganya dalam rangka menurunkan inflasi hingga mencapai target pada kisaran 2%. Meskipun demikian, hingga saat ini mayoritas investor masih optimis bahwa The Fed akan mempertahankan suku bunga tetap pada pertemuan pekan depan.

Data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya CPI, PPI, initial claims, retail sales dan Mich consumer sentiment. Dari domestik, data indikator ekonomi yang akan dirilis diantaranya penjualan otomotif dan neraca perdagangan.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 8 September 2023 ditutup melemah 0,43% pada level 6924. Saham sektor properti mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor infrastruktur membukukan kenaikan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp1,107 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6895/6870 dan resistance 6940/6960. Stock pick: INKP, TKIM, BRIS, ADRO, ADMR, AUTO, MIKA, PGEO, PGAS

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