Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah akibat kekhawatiran akan resesi ekonomi AS meskipun terdapat sentimen positif dari laju infasi yang melambat pada bulan Maret 2023. Kecemasan akan resesi muncul dari dirilisnya minutes pertemuan The Fed Maret lalu yang menunjukkan kekhawatiran para pejabat The Fed akan potensi resesi ringan di AS pada tahun ini akibat krisis perbankan. Data inflasi AS bulan Maret tercatat sebesar 0,1% mom dan 5% yoy, di bawah estimasi yang sebesar 0,2% dan 5,6% yoy. Sedangkan inflasi inti sebesar 0,4% mom dan 5,6% yoy, sesuai perkiraan. Meskipun inflasi melanjutkan penurunan, namun masih di atas target The Fed 2%, sehingga The Fed masih berpotensi akan menaikkan suku bunga sebesar 0,25% pada pertemuan awal Mei nanti. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah menguat karena faktor positif dari turunnya inflasi lebih dari perkiraan. Demikian juga dengan harga emas.

IHSG pada perdagangan Rabu 12 April 2023 ditutup melemah 0,18% pada level 6798. Saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor industri membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp1,822 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6775/6730 dan resistance 6835/6870. Stock pick: BMRI, BBCA, BBTN, ASII, ISAT, EXCL, ANTM, INCO, TINS, PGAS, ADHI, WIKA, PTPP, CTRA

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