Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada perdagangan kemarin ditutup menguat, dipicu oleh rebound dari koreksi sehari sebelumnya serta laporan keuangan beberapa emiten yang lebih baik dari estimasi. Sehari sebelumnya indeks melemah signifikan akibat data inflasi AS bulan Januari yang di atas estimasi, sehingga mendorong kenaikan yield US-Treasury serta meningkatkan kekhawatiran bahwa The Fed tidak akan segera menurunkan suku bunganya. Data inflasi tercatat sebesar 0,3% mom dan 3,1% yoy, di atas estimasi yang sebesar 0,2% mom dan 2,9% yoy. Inflasi inti sebesar 0,4% mom dan 3,9% yoy, di atas perkiraan yang sebesar 0,3% mom dan 3,7% yoy. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah mengalami koreksi akibat data cadangan minyak AS mengalami kenaikan. Harga emas turun di bawah level USD2000/t.oz karena menurunnya ekspektasi akan penurunan suku bunga The Fed akibat data inflasi yang lebih tinggi dari estimasi.

IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 13 Februari 2024 ditutup melemah 1,2% pada level 7209. Saham sektor basic industri mengalami pelemahan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor transportasi membukukan kenaikan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp1,227 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Berlangsungnya pilpres dengan aman dan berpotensi hanya satu putaran, diperkirakan akan direspon positif oleh pasar pada hari ini. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7180/7150 dan resistance 7250/7290. Stock pick: BBRI, BBTN, BRIS, ISAT, PTBA, ADRO, ADMR, ITMG, AMRT

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