Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah akibat kekhawatiran akan ekonomi China dan koreksi pada saham sektor perbankan. Fitch Ratings memperingatkan kemungkinan harus menurunkan peringkat beberapa bank di AS, termasuk JP Morgan. Hal tersebut mendorong pelemahan pada saham-saham perbankan. Sentimen negatif juga berasal dari data ekonomi China yang di bawah estimasi sehingga menimbulkan kekhawatiran akan potensi perlambatan ekonomi secara global. Data produksi industri dan penjualan ritel China di bawah estimasi. Bank sentral China juga menurunkan suku bunga sebesar 15 basis poin menjadi 2,5% dari 2,65%, namun justru menambah kekhawatiran pasar akan prospek pasar real estate di China. Sementara itu data penjualan ritel AS pada bulan Juli meningkat 0,7% mom, di atas estimasi yang sebesar 0,4% mom. Harga minyak mentah melemah akibat kekhawatiran akan prospek ekonomi China. Sedangkan harga emas cenderung stabil di tengah penurunan dollar AS dan yield US-Treasury.

IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 15 Agustus 2023 ditutup menguat 0,07% pada level 6915. Saham sektor energi membukukan kenaikan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor keuangan mengalami pelemahan terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net sell Rp1,259 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6900/6875 dan resistance 6935/6965. Stock pick: TLKM, ISAT, EXCL, TOWR, TBIG, ACES, AMRT, BRPT, ADRO, ADMR, INKP, TKIM, MEDC

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