Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup menguat setelah The Fed menaikkan suku bunga sebesar 0,75% menjadi 1,75%, sebagai upaya untuk meredam laju inflasi AS yang mencapai level tertinggi dalam 40 tahun terakhir. Kenaikan suku bunga ini merupakan kenaikan terbesar sejak tahun 1994. The Fed juga memberi sinyal akan kembali melanjutkan kenaikan suku bunga sebesar 0,5%-0,75% pada pertemuan Juli mendatang. Hal ini justru mendatangkan optimisme bagi investor akan komitmen The Fed untuk menurunkan laju inflasi. Sebelumnya pasar telah mengantisipasi kenaikan suku bunga sebesar 0,75% pada pertemuan Juni ini, namun indikasi The Fed akan menaikkan suku bunga sebesar 0,75% lagi pada pertemuan bulan depan, di luar dugaan pasar. The Fed tetap berkomitmen untuk menurunkan laju inflasi hingga di kisaran target The Fed sebesar 2%. Pasar memprediksi suku bunga The Fed pada akhir tahun ini akan menjadi pada kisaran 3,4%. The Fed juga menurunkan proyeksi pertumbuhan ekonomi AS tahun ini menjadi 1,7% dari proyeksi sebelumnya 2,8%. Untuk proyeksi inflasi dinaikkan menjadi 5,2% dari 4,3%, namun diperkirakan akan menurun pada tahun 2023.

IHSG pada perdagangan Rabu 15 Juni 2022 ditutup melemah 0,61% pada level 7007. Saham sektor energi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor teknologi membukukan kenaikan terbesar. Investor asing net sell Rp809,11 miliar. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6950/6925 dan resistance 7095/7150. Stock pick: BBRI, BMRI, BBCA, ARTO, TLKM, UNVR, AKRA, MEDC

This report is prepared strictly for private circulation only to clients of PT Waterfront Sekuritas Indonesia. It is purposed only to person having professional experience in matters relating to investments. The information contained in this report has been taken from sources which we deem reliable. No warranty (express or implied) is made to the accuracy or completeness of the information. All opinions and estimates included in this report constitute our judgments as of this date, without regards to its fairness, and are subject to change without notice. However, none of PT Waterfront Sekuritas Indonesia and/or its affiliated companies and/or their respective employees and/or agents makes any representation or warranty (express or implied) or accepts any responsibility or liability as to, or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of the information and opinions contained in this report or as to any information contained in this report or any other such information or opinions remaining unchanged after the issue thereof. We expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability (express or implied), its affiliated companies and their respective employees and agents whatsoever and howsoever arising (including, without limitation for any claims, proceedings, action, suits, losses, expenses, damages or costs) which may be brought against or suffered by any person as a results of acting in reliance upon the whole or any part of the contents of this report and neither PT Waterfront Sekuritas Indonesia, its affiliated companies or their respective employees or agents accepts liability for any errors, omissions or misstatements, negligent or otherwise, in the report and any liability in respect of the report or any inaccuracy therein or omission there from which might otherwise arise is hereby expresses disclaimed. This document is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities. This firms and its affiliates and their officers and employees may have a position, make markets, act as principal or engage in transaction in securities or related investments of any company mentioned herein, may perform services for or solicit business from any company mentioned herein, and may have acted upon or used any of the recommendations herein before they have been provided to you. © PT Waterfront Sekuritas Indonesia 2022