Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada Kamis pekan lalu ditutup melemah dipicu oleh laporan keuangan perbankan yang variatif serta kenaikan inflasi. Bursa Wall Street libur pada hari Jumat pekan lalu. Yield US-Treasury tenor 10 tahun kembali meningkat pada level 2,8%. Kecemasan akan inflasi dan kenaikan yield memicu koreksi pada saham sektor teknologi. Pasar juga mengantisipasi kenaikan suku bunga The Fed sebesar 0,5% pada pertemuan Mei, serta kemungkinan dapat berlanjut pada pertemuan Juni dan Juli mendatang. Data ekonomi AS yang akan dirilis pada pekan ini diantaranya housing starts, building permits, existing home sales dan initial claims. Wall Street juga akan menantikan lanjutan earning season dengan sejumlah emiten besar dijadwalkan akan merilis laporan keuangan pada pekan ini. Sementara itu hasil pertemuan ECB pada hari Kamis lalu masih mempertahankan suku bunga tetap, namun berencana akan mengakhiri program pembelian obligasi pada triwulan III. Setelah program pembelian obligasi dihentikan, ECB diperkirakan akan mulai menaikkan suku bunga, mengikuti langkah yang telah dilakukan Bank of England dan The Fed.

IHSG pada perdagangan Kamis 14 April 2022 ditutup melemah 0,37% pada level 7235. Saham sektor basic materials mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor kesehatan membukukan penguatan terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp53,87 miliar, termasuk transaksi di pasar negosiasi atas saham BEBS dengan net sell investor asing senilai Rp366,3 miliar. Pada pekan ini BI dijadwalkan akan melakukan Rapat Dewan Gubernur pada Senin-Selasa. BPS akan merilis data neraca perdagangan Maret pada Senin. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7200/7150 dan resistance 7270/7300. Stock pick: TLKM, EXCL, INCO, PTBA, ADRO, JSMR, UNTR, AALI, LSIP

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