Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street pada akhir pekan lalu ditutup melemah, setelah data inflasi di tingkat produsen mengalami kenaikan lebih besar dari perkiraan. Indeks PPI bulan Januari tercatat sebesar 0,3% mom, lebih tinggi dari estimasi yang sebesar 0,1%. Sedangkan indeks PPI inti menjadi 0,5% mom, juga di atas perkiraan yang sebesar 0,1% mom. Yield US-Treasury kembali mengalami kenaikan akibat data inflasi tersebut. Data inflasi PPI tersebut menambah kekhawatiran investor bahwa The Fed akan menunggu lebih lama dari perkiraan sebelumnya untuk menurunkan suku bunga. Pada pekan ini pasar akan mencermati dirilisnya FOMC minutes. Sedangkan dari domestik pasar akan menantikan RDG Bank Indonesia yang menurut konsensus akan mempertahankan BI Rate pada level 6%.

IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat 16 Februari 2024 ditutup menguat 0,44% pada level 7335. Saham sektor industri membukukan penguatan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor properti mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp1,645 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7300/7270 dan resistance 7370/7390. Stock pick: BBCA, TLKM, SMGR, PGAS, ASII, TPIA

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