Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup memguat didorong oleh kenaikan individual emiten meskipun merilis kinerja yang di bawah perkiraan serta mengantisipasi kenaikan suku bunga. Namun hingga saat ini data ekonomi masih baik, meskipun kecemasan akan potensi adanya resesi ke depannya semakin meningkat. Data housing starts dan building permits bulan Maret di atas perkiraan. Yield US-Treasury dengan tenor 10 tahun kembali mengalami kenaikan pada level 2,94%, yang merupakan level tertinggi sejak tahun 2018. Potensi kenaikan suku bunga The Fed sebesar 0,5% pada pertemuan awal bulan depan, telah mendorong fluktuasi tinggi terhadap pasar saham dan obligasi. Koreksinya harga minyak mentah juga menjadi faktor positif terhadap bursa Wall Street semalam. Harga minyak mentah melemah setelah IMF memangkas pertumbuhan ekonomi global akibat konflik Ukraina dan meningkatnya kasus Covid-19 di China.

IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 19 April 2022 ditutup melemah 1,05% pada level 7199. Saham sektor transportasi mengalami pelemahan terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor infrastruktur menjadi satu-satunya sektor yang mengalami penguatan. Investor asing net buy Rp435,58 miliar. Seperti yang diperkirakan, BI masih mempertahankan suku bunga acuan pada level 3,5%. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7150/7098 dan resistance 7265/7300. Stock pick: TLKM, ISAT, EXCL, INCO, ADMR, DRMA, CPIN, PGAS, EMTK, ICBP

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