Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street ditutup melemah signifikan akibat kekhawatiran akan perlambatan ekonomi. Saham sektor teknologi mengalami koreksi terbesar, menjelang dirilisnya laporan keuangan Microsoft dan Alphabet setelah penutupan perdagangan. Nasdaq Composite melemah hingga menyentuh level terendah baru selama setahun terakhir. Investor khawatir dengan kenaikan kasus Covid-19 di China, konflik Ukraina yang belum menunjukkan tanda-tanda akan berakhir, serta tingginya laju inflasi di AS yang mendorong The Fed menaikkan suku bunga. Sejumlah faktor negatif tersebut dikhawatirkan akan mendorong perlambatan ekonomi. Jika ekonomi melambat akan mengurangi permintaan akan teknologi. Saham perbankan juga melemah akibat penurunan yield US-Treasury tenor 10 tahun di bawah level 2,8%. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah rebound di atas level USD 100 / barel, setelah sebelumnya melemah akibat kecemasan akan penurunan permintaan karena lockdown di China. Harga emas menguat karena kenaikan permintaan akan safe haven di tengah tingginya inflasi dan potensi perlambatan ekonomi.

IHSG pada perdagangan Selasa 26 April 2022 ditutup menguat 0,22% pada level 7232. Saham sektor consumer noncyclicals membukukan penguatan terbesar. Sedangkan saham sektor teknologi mengalami koreksi terbesar. Investor asing net buy Rp19,415 triliun, termasuk transaksi di pasar negosiasi atas saham TBIG dengan net buy investor asing sebesar Rp18,1 triliun, net buy MCAS senilai Rp1,08 triliun dan net sell investor asing atas saham BEBS senilai Rp942,75 miliar. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 7160/7120 dan resistance 7260/7290. Stock pick: TLKM, BBCA, BBRI, BBNI, ASII, EMTK, ICBP, ADMR, CTRA, SMRA

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