Market Review and Prediction

Indeks di bursa Wall Street kembali ditutup menguat seiring dengan berlanjutnya penguatan pada saham sektor teknologi. Meredanya kekhawatiran akan gejolak industri perbankan menjadi faktor positif. Indeks volatilitas Vix turun pada level 19, setelah sempat mencapai level 30 pada pertengahan Maret akibat ketidakpastian pasar karena gejolak perbankan di AS dan Eropa. Meskipun demikian pasar juga menantikan data inflasi AS, yaitu indeks PCE prices yang akan dirilis nanti malam, yang dapat menjadi indikator langkah kebijakan moneter The Fed selanjutnya. Data initial claims pekan lalu menunjukkan kenaikan jumlah klaim pengangguran sebanyak 7000 orang, yang menambah harapan pasar bahwa The Fed dapat memperlambat kenaikan suku bunganya karena pasar tenaga kerja AS mulai mendingin. Sementara itu harga minyak mentah rebound karena turunnya data cadangan minyak AS serta risiko berkurangnya suplay dari Irak. Harga emas juga menguat ditopang oleh pelemahan dollar AS.

IHSG pada perdagangan Kamis 30 Maret 2023 ditutup melemah 0,45% pada level 6808. Saham sektor teknologi mengalami koreksi terbesar, sedangkan saham sektor basic materials menjadi satu-satunya sektor yang menguat. Investor asing mencatatkan net buy Rp1,199 triliun termasuk transaksi di pasar non reguler. Pada perdagangan hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran support 6785/6730 dan resistance 6850/6875. Stock pick: BBCA, BMRI, TLKM, ISAT, ANTM, TINS, INCO, PGAS, MEDC

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